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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Red Star Belgrade v Larne FC

Inizio: 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC

Finale: Red Star Belgrade 5–0 Larne FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Red Star Belgrade (Casa)

Previsione 89.12%1.12quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -4.34%
Kelly -66.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
87.10%89.19%88.99%90.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.051.051.0798.04%95.34%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Larne FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 3.50%28.54quota equa
EV +19.12%
Vantaggio +0.562%
Kelly +0.579%
Crescita +0.111%

ipotizzando la quota massima 34.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.74%3.45%3.57%4.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
19.0027.2129.0034.005.26%3.68%3.45%2.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 7.38%13.55quota equa
EV +10.67%
Vantaggio +0.711%
Kelly +0.762%
Crescita +0.081%

ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.25%7.36%7.44%9.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0012.5113.0015.0010.00%7.99%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Red Star Belgrade (Casa): 89.12%; Larne FC (Trasferta): 3.50%; Pareggio: 7.38%. Per Larne FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 28.54. 18 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 34.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +19.12%.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.78%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV +19.12%E +0.562%K +0.579%G +0.111%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.09%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.12%EV +5.11%E +0.170%K +0.176%G +0.009%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 17:35
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.45%EV -8.21%E -7.97%K -273.60%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -7.78%E -0.622%K -0.676%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -9.10%E -8.92%K -454.95%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -9.10%E -8.92%K -454.95%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.32%EV -1.90%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -22.53%E -2.15%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:55
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.01%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +3.29%E +0.235%K +0.253%G +0.008%5.3%2026-07-29 17:30
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -15.15%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:55
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.32%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.08%EV -2.24%E -0.169%K -0.183%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.14%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +10.67%E +0.711%K +0.762%G +0.081%6.7%2026-07-29 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.14%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +10.67%E +0.711%K +0.762%G +0.081%6.7%2026-07-29 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.19%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 18:04
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.94%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.10%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -26.22%E -2.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.13%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.81%EV +1.45%E +0.105%K +0.113%G +0.002%6.9%2026-07-29 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.78%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.01%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -26.43%E -1.26%K -1.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.72%EV -8.21%E -7.97%K -273.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -33.43%E -1.76%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 17:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.52%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50%1.0%2026-07-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.44%48.00I 2.08%NM 2.06%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50%1.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.44%48.00I 2.08%NM 2.06%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50%1.1%2026-07-29 17:55