La scuola delle quote

Red Star Belgrade v Larne FC

2026-07-29 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

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33 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Red Star Belgrade (Casa)

Previsione 88.17%1.13quota equa
EV -3.89%
Vantaggio -3.57%
Kelly -43.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.49%87.82%88.30%89.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.051.051.0998.04%94.83%95.24%91.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Larne FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 3.90%25.63quota equa
EV +13.13%
Vantaggio +0.453%
Kelly +0.469%
Crescita +0.062%

ipotizzando la quota massima 29.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.14%3.91%3.91%4.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
20.0025.8226.0029.005.00%3.87%3.85%3.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 7.93%12.61quota equa
EV +4.65%
Vantaggio +0.352%
Kelly +0.381%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.12%8.27%7.79%11.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0011.8712.0013.2012.50%8.42%8.33%7.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%6.4%2026-07-25 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -8.30%E -7.98%K -207.55%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%7.3%2026-07-25 04:25
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -8.30%E -7.98%K -207.55%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%7.3%2026-07-25 04:25
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 89.45%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.12%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -0.904%E -0.072%K -0.079%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 04:25
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -10.07%E -9.87%K -503.27%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 04:25
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -10.07%E -9.87%K -503.27%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +13.13%E +0.453%K +0.469%G +0.062%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 04:25
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.26%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +9.23%E +0.330%K +0.342%G +0.032%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -34.20%E -4.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 08:00
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.26%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +9.23%E +0.330%K +0.342%G +0.032%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -34.20%E -4.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 08:00
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -8.30%E -7.98%K -207.55%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.31%EV +9.23%E +0.330%K +0.342%G +0.032%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:05
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.47%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.81%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +1.43%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 15:00
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 87.94%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV +1.43%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:45
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.03%EV -8.30%E -7.98%K -207.55%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV +1.43%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -0.904%E -0.072%K -0.079%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 15:00
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 88.04%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV +1.43%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 15:05
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -8.30%E -7.98%K -207.55%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +1.43%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 14:59
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV -2.47%E -0.099%K -0.103%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.65%EV -4.78%E -4.42%K -59.69%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.99%EV -6.37%E -0.266%K -0.277%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.36%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%4.5%2026-07-25 15:20
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 87.43%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.81%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -10.27%E -0.447%K -0.467%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 05:04
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -10.27%E -0.447%K -0.467%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 14:50
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -10.27%E -0.447%K -0.467%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -10.27%E -0.447%K -0.467%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 14:49
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 84.49%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV -10.27%E -0.447%K -0.467%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -36.58%E -4.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 08:00
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -14.17%E -0.644%K -0.675%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.12%EV +4.65%E +0.352%K +0.381%G +0.018%6.5%2026-07-26 08:05
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.61%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV -14.17%E -0.644%K -0.675%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.06%E +0.235%K +0.255%G +0.008%7.5%2026-07-26 07:55
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.41%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV -18.08%E -0.861%K -0.904%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:00
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 86.47%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -18.08%E -0.861%K -0.904%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -20.72%E -2.07%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 14:59
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -21.98%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.98%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -21.98%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -4.87%E -0.406%K -0.443%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 15:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.94%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%5.3%2026-07-26 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.94%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%5.3%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.94%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%5.3%2026-07-26 07:55