Langue:Français
Red Star Belgrade v Larne FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Red Star Belgrade (Local)
Prévision 89.12%1.12cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -4.34%
Kelly -66.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.10%89.19%88.99%90.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.0798.04%95.34%95.24%93.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Larne FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 3.50%28.54cote équitable
EV +19.12%
Avantage +0.562%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.111%
avec la cote maximale 34.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.74%3.45%3.57%4.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
19.0027.2129.0034.005.26%3.68%3.45%2.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 7.38%13.55cote équitable
EV +10.67%
Avantage +0.711%
Kelly +0.762%
Croissance +0.081%
avec la cote maximale 15.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.25%7.36%7.44%9.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0012.5113.0015.0010.00%7.99%7.69%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Red Star Belgrade (Local) : 89.12% ; Larne FC (Visiteur) : 3.50% ; Match nul : 7.38%. Pour Larne FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 28.54. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 34.00, soit une espérance positive de +19.12%.
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.78%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV +19.12%E +0.562%K +0.579%G +0.111% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.09%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.12%EV +5.11%E +0.170%K +0.176%G +0.009% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.45%EV -8.21%E -7.97%K -273.60%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -7.78%E -0.622%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -9.10%E -8.92%K -454.95%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -9.10%E -8.92%K -454.95%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.32%EV -1.90%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -22.53%E -2.15%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.01%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +3.29%E +0.235%K +0.253%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -15.15%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.32%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.08%EV -2.24%E -0.169%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.14%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +10.67%E +0.711%K +0.762%G +0.081% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.14%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +10.67%E +0.711%K +0.762%G +0.081% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.19%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.94%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.10%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -26.22%E -2.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.13%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.81%EV +1.45%E +0.105%K +0.113%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.78%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.01%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -26.43%E -1.26%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-27 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.72%EV -8.21%E -7.97%K -273.60%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -33.43%E -1.76%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.52% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.44% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.06% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.44% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.06% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |