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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Lech Poznań v AGF Aarhus

開賽時間： 2026-07-29 17:00 UTC

最終賽果： Lech Poznań 1–4 AGF Aarhus

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

32 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lech Poznań (主隊)

預測 53.92%1.85公平賠率
EV -2.94%
優勢 -1.63%
Kelly -3.68%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.80

博彩公司預測分布
52.31%53.91%53.87%55.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.661.721.701.8060.24%58.27%58.82%55.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值

AGF Aarhus (客隊)

預測 22.42%4.46公平賠率
EV +0.890%
優勢 +0.198%
Kelly +0.254%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 4.50

博彩公司預測分布
20.50%22.35%22.43%24.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.754.264.254.5026.67%23.49%23.53%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.66%4.23公平賠率
EV -0.636%
優勢 -0.151%
Kelly -0.199%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.52%23.74%23.70%25.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.853.804.2027.78%25.96%26.32%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Lech Poznań (主隊)：53.92%；AGF Aarhus (客隊)：22.42%；和局：23.66%。 對於「AGF Aarhus (客隊)」，該估計相當於4.46的公平十進位賠率。 當時有11家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.50，對應+0.890%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (32 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 16:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.47%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.47%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 16:15
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.17%EV -6.08%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -3.59%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 16:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.90%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.90%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 16:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 16:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-29 16:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.70%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -11.89%E -3.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -1.82%E -0.438%K -0.577%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -0.636%E -0.151%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.92%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-29 16:40
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-07-29 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-29 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-29 16:40