Lingua:Italiano
Lech Poznań v AGF Aarhus
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lech Poznań (Casa)
Previsione 53.92%1.85quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -3.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.31%53.91%53.87%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.721.701.8060.24%58.27%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
AGF Aarhus (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.42%4.46quota equa
EV +0.890%
Vantaggio +0.198%
Kelly +0.254%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.50%22.35%22.43%24.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.264.254.5026.67%23.49%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 23.66%4.23quota equa
EV -0.636%
Vantaggio -0.151%
Kelly -0.199%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.52%23.74%23.70%25.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.853.804.2027.78%25.96%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Lech Poznań (Casa): 53.92%; AGF Aarhus (Trasferta): 22.42%; Pareggio: 23.66%. Per AGF Aarhus (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.46. 11 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.890%.
Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.47%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.47%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.17%EV -6.08%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -3.59%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.70%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -11.89%E -3.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -1.82%E -0.438%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -0.636%E -0.151%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.92%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |