La scuola delle quote

Lech Poznań v AGF Aarhus

2026-07-29 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

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30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lech Poznań (Casa)

Previsione 52.62%1.90quota equa
EV -4.23%
Vantaggio -2.33%
Kelly -5.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.34%52.51%52.67%53.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.761.741.8258.48%56.97%57.47%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AGF Aarhus (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.44%4.46quota equa
EV -0.813%
Vantaggio -0.184%
Kelly -0.238%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.23%22.64%21.97%25.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.154.234.4227.03%24.08%23.61%22.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV -0.240%
Vantaggio -0.060%
Kelly -0.080%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.43%24.85%25.36%26.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.693.654.0028.57%27.07%27.40%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.57%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -3.51%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 06:59
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.240%E -0.060%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 05:45
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -0.240%E -0.060%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 05:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 03:04
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.97%E -4.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 05:45
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -16.97%E -4.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 03:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.25%EV -0.813%E -0.184%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 18:04
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 21.91%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.55%EV -9.72%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:14
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 21.91%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.55%EV -9.72%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:15
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 10:40
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -1.26%E -0.287%K -0.371%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.22%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 17:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 10:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 10:40
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 10:40
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 04:59
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 04:59
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -2.38%E -0.548%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:50
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 10:38
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 11:15
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -10.02%E -5.86%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -10.02%E -5.86%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 05:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%5.8%2026-07-26 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 08:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-25 18:50