Sprache:Deutsch
Lech Poznań v AGF Aarhus
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Lech Poznań (Heim)
Prognose 53.92%1.85faire Quote
EV -2.94%
Vorteil -1.63%
Kelly -3.68%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.31%53.91%53.87%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.661.721.701.8060.24%58.27%58.82%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
AGF Aarhus (Auswärts)
Prognose 22.42%4.46faire Quote
EV +0.890%
Vorteil +0.198%
Kelly +0.254%
Wachstum +0.002%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.50%22.35%22.43%24.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.264.254.5026.67%23.49%23.53%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 23.66%4.23faire Quote
EV -0.636%
Vorteil -0.151%
Kelly -0.199%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.52%23.74%23.70%25.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.853.804.2027.78%25.96%26.32%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Lech Poznań (Heim): 53.92%; AGF Aarhus (Auswärts): 22.42%; Unentschieden: 23.66%. Für AGF Aarhus (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.46. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.890%.
Wettanbieterquoten (32 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +0.890%E +0.198%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.47%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.47%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.17%EV -6.08%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -3.59%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.70%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -11.89%E -3.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -1.82%E -0.438%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -0.636%E -0.151%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.92%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (3)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |