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KuPS Kuopio v FK Vardar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KuPS Kuopio (Local)
Prediction 63.11%1.58fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.38%62.91%63.05%64.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.481.491.5571.94%67.74%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FK Vardar (Visit)
Prediction 15.73%6.36fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.479%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.41%15.89%15.74%18.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.665.756.2020.41%17.67%17.39%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.17%4.72fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.04%21.19%21.21%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.304.6025.00%23.14%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.72%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%EV -2.49%E -0.402%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 09:17 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -22.94%E -4.68%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.79%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.75%EV -5.95%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.46%EV -4.69%E -0.774%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.85%E -0.802%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -7.21%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.22%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -8.78%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.75%EV -12.28%E -8.84%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |