L’École des cotes

KuPS Kuopio v FK Vardar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-14 15:00 UTC

Score final : KuPS Kuopio 2–3 FK Vardar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 63.11%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.38%62.91%63.05%64.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.481.491.5571.94%67.74%67.11%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FK Vardar (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.73%6.36cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.479%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.41%15.89%15.74%18.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.665.756.2020.41%17.67%17.39%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.17%4.72cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.04%21.19%21.21%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.324.304.6025.00%23.14%23.26%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 13:24
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 13:24
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 13:24
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.72%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%EV -2.49%E -0.402%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 09:17
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 09:18
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -22.94%E -4.68%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 13:24
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-14 13:24
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.79%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.75%EV -5.95%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 13:24
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 13:24
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 09:19
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.46%EV -4.69%E -0.774%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 13:24
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 13:24
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 13:24
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 13:24
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.85%E -0.802%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:29
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-14 11:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-14 11:29
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 13:24
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -7.21%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 13:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 13:24
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 13:24
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.22%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -8.78%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 09:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-14 13:24
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-14 13:24
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.75%EV -12.28%E -8.84%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-14 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-14 11:30