La escuela de los momiosEspañol
KuPS Kuopio v FK Vardar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
KuPS Kuopio (Local)
Predicción 63.11%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -3.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.38%62.91%63.05%64.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.481.491.5571.94%67.74%67.11%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FK Vardar (Visitante)
Predicción 15.73%6.36momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.479%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.41%15.89%15.74%18.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.665.756.2020.41%17.67%17.39%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.17%4.72momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.04%21.19%21.21%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.324.304.6025.00%23.14%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.72%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%EV -2.49%E -0.402%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 09:17 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -22.94%E -4.68%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.79%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.75%EV -5.95%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.46%EV -4.69%E -0.774%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.85%E -0.802%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -7.21%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.22%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -8.78%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.75%EV -12.28%E -8.84%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-14 13:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |