La scuola delle quote

KuPS Kuopio v FK Vardar

Inizio: 2026-07-14 15:00 UTC

Finale: KuPS Kuopio 2–3 FK Vardar

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Casa)

Previsione 63.11%1.58quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -3.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.38%62.91%63.05%64.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.481.491.5571.94%67.74%67.11%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FK Vardar (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.73%6.36quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -0.402%
Kelly -0.479%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.41%15.89%15.74%18.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.665.756.2020.41%17.67%17.39%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.17%4.72quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.572%
Kelly -0.731%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.04%21.19%21.21%22.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.324.304.6025.00%23.14%23.26%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 13:24
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 13:24
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -12.16%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 13:24
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.72%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%EV -2.49%E -0.402%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 09:17
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -3.45%E -2.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 09:18
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -22.94%E -4.68%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 13:24
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -4.08%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -21.36%E -4.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-14 13:24
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.79%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.75%EV -5.95%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 13:24
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.63%E -0.572%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 13:24
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 09:19
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.46%EV -4.69%E -0.774%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 13:24
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 13:24
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 11:29
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 13:24
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.57%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 13:24
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.85%E -0.802%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:29
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.92%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.81%EV -7.99%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-14 11:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-14 11:29
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.64%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 13:24
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -7.21%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 13:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 13:24
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 13:24
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -15.07%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.22%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -8.78%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 09:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-14 13:24
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-14 13:24
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.75%EV -12.28%E -8.84%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -13.50%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV -6.87%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-14 13:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-14 11:30