默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hearts v SK Sturm Graz

开赛时间: 2026-07-28 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Hearts 0–2 SK Sturm Graz

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hearts (主队)

预测 50.93%1.96公平赔率
EV -4.77%
优势 -2.55%
Kelly -5.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
49.80%50.91%50.97%51.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.811.821.8758.48%55.25%54.95%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

SK Sturm Graz (客队)

预测 25.32%3.95公平赔率
EV -1.00%
优势 -0.256%
Kelly -0.345%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.91

博彩公司预测分布
24.07%25.31%25.48%27.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.653.653.9129.85%27.40%27.40%25.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.76%4.21公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.341%
Kelly -0.449%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.15

博彩公司预测分布
22.48%23.78%23.55%24.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.683.923.904.1527.17%25.53%25.64%24.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hearts (主队):50.93%;SK Sturm Graz (客队):25.32%;平局:23.76%。 对于“SK Sturm Graz (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.95。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.91,期望值为-1.00%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.21%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 18:09
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -6.30%E -3.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.13%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.23%EV -2.84%E -0.695%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.52%E -0.655%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.35%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 18:34
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.07%EV -1.00%E -0.256%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.51%EV -8.78%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:39
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 18:20
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:34
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:34
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:34
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 18:34
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.42%E -0.341%K -0.449%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.42%E -0.341%K -0.449%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-28 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-28 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -7.82%E -4.32%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -7.82%E -4.32%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.82%E -4.32%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.35%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.35%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.35%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.78%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.84%EV -12.58%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.78%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.84%EV -12.58%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -9.86%E -5.57%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -7.35%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -9.86%E -5.57%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -7.35%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.88%E -6.22%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-28 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.88%E -6.22%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-28 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.88%E -6.22%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-28 17:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.40%EV -12.92%E -7.55%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-28 18:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-07-28 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-07-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-07-28 18:40