L’École des cotes

Hearts v SK Sturm Graz

2026-07-28 18:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 51.42%1.94cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -5.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.88%51.35%51.36%52.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.781.8558.82%55.98%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SK Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.16%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.624%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.212%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%25.16%25.10%26.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.673.703.9530.30%27.27%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.509%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.28%23.50%23.54%25.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.954.2027.78%25.53%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 17:55
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -0.624%E -0.158%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:48
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.88%E -0.483%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 00:50
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 17:54
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.25%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.19%EV -9.12%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 15:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -2.80%E -0.675%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 20:05
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -2.80%E -0.675%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -6.93%E -3.83%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -3.39%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.14%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 18:45
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:15
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 17:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 00:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 00:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 00:50
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 02:04
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.96%EV -2.89%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -10.06%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.96%EV -2.89%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -10.06%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:04
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 00:03
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:29
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 00:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-24 12:45
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -14.51%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 01:05
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-25 02:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-07-25 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%2.9%2026-07-25 20:05