La scuola delle quote

Hearts v SK Sturm Graz

2026-07-28 18:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

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37 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hearts (Casa)

Previsione 51.55%1.94quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -2.51%
Kelly -5.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.88%51.41%51.80%52.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.791.781.8558.82%55.99%56.18%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SK Sturm Graz (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.72%4.05quota equa
EV -2.36%
Vantaggio -0.597%
Kelly -0.799%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.96%24.93%24.42%26.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.703.703.9530.30%27.05%27.03%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.73%4.21quota equa
EV -0.324%
Vantaggio -0.077%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.35%23.67%23.79%25.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.66%25.64%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.64%E -2.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -0.324%E -0.077%K -0.101%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 17:55
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.67%E -3.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -2.36%E -0.597%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:48
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.67%E -3.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.59%E -0.921%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 00:50
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.67%E -3.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.18%E -3.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -0.324%E -0.077%K -0.101%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 17:54
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.18%E -3.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.25%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.19%EV -7.92%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 15:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.18%E -3.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.51%E -0.364%K -0.479%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 20:05
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.18%E -3.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.51%E -0.364%K -0.479%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -6.70%E -3.70%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.08%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 18:45
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:15
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 17:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -14.56%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 00:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -14.56%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 00:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -14.56%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 00:50
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -7.21%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -15.95%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 02:04
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.96%EV -4.58%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -8.87%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.96%EV -4.58%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -8.87%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.26%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:30
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.76%E -4.95%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 07:14
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.76%E -4.95%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 07:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.79%E -5.60%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 07:14
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.79%E -5.60%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 07:14
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -9.79%E -5.60%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:29
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -9.79%E -5.60%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.82%E -6.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -18.42%E -5.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -14.56%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-24 12:45
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.34%E -6.59%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -13.38%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 01:05
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -12.37%E -7.28%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-25 02:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%2.6%2026-07-26 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%2.6%2026-07-26 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-07-26 07:45