语言:简体中文
Fenerbahce v SK Sturm Graz
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fenerbahce (主队)
预测 73.05%1.37公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -2.14%
Kelly -8.61%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
70.30%72.76%73.10%76.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.261.261.3386.21%79.44%79.37%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
SK Sturm Graz (客队)
预测 10.29%9.72公平赔率
EV +8.03%
优势 +0.765%
Kelly +0.845%
增长率 +0.068%
假设最高赔率为 10.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.00%10.46%10.29%11.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.359.3910.5012.50%10.70%10.64%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.66%6.00公平赔率
EV +8.30%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.51%
增长率 +0.125%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.75%16.78%16.61%18.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.815.846.5020.00%17.20%17.12%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fenerbahce (主队)：73.05%；SK Sturm Graz (客队)：10.29%；平局：16.66%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.00。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+8.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +8.30%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.125% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +8.30%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.125% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -2.84%E -2.14%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%EV -13.58%E -1.62%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%EV +3.30%E +0.532%K +0.634%G +0.021% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.32%EV -5.86%E -0.640%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.35%EV +2.46%E +0.401%K +0.479%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.32%EV -5.86%E -0.640%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.35%EV +2.46%E +0.401%K +0.479%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV +1.63%E +0.267%K +0.320%G +0.005% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV +1.63%E +0.267%K +0.320%G +0.005% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -10.15%E -8.25%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.70%E -0.288%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.29I 10.76%NM 10.05%EV -4.42%E -0.476%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 15.87%EV -2.03%E -0.346%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -15.26%E -13.16%K -95.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -3.37%E -0.580%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -4.20%E -0.730%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.20%E -0.730%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -5.03%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.99%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.92%EV -4.83%E -0.522%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.03%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.04%EV -3.57%E -2.71%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 8.61I 11.61%NM 11.04%EV -11.42%E -1.33%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.92%EV -6.37%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +0.827%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +0.827%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -12.53%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |