Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fenerbahce v SK Sturm Graz

Inizio: 2026-08-05 18:00 UTC

Finale: Fenerbahce 2–0 SK Sturm Graz

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fenerbahce (Casa)

Previsione 73.05%1.37quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -2.14%
Kelly -8.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.30%72.76%73.10%76.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.261.261.3386.21%79.44%79.37%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

SK Sturm Graz (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.29%9.72quota equa
EV +8.03%
Vantaggio +0.765%
Kelly +0.845%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.00%10.46%10.29%11.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.359.3910.5012.50%10.70%10.64%9.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 16.66%6.00quota equa
EV +8.30%
Vantaggio +1.28%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescita +0.125%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.75%16.78%16.61%18.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.815.846.5020.00%17.20%17.12%15.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fenerbahce (Casa): 73.05%; SK Sturm Graz (Trasferta): 10.29%; Pareggio: 16.66%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.00. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.30%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +8.30%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.125%4.3%2026-08-05 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +8.30%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.125%4.3%2026-08-05 17:55
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081%5.8%2026-08-05 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081%5.8%2026-08-05 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081%5.8%2026-08-05 17:55
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033%6.6%2026-08-05 17:55
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033%6.6%2026-08-05 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033%8.0%2026-08-05 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033%8.0%2026-08-05 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033%8.0%2026-08-05 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -2.84%E -2.14%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%EV -13.58%E -1.62%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%EV +3.30%E +0.532%K +0.634%G +0.021%3.2%2026-08-05 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.32%EV -5.86%E -0.640%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.35%EV +2.46%E +0.401%K +0.479%G +0.012%5.9%2026-08-05 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.32%EV -5.86%E -0.640%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.35%EV +2.46%E +0.401%K +0.479%G +0.012%5.9%2026-08-05 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV +1.63%E +0.267%K +0.320%G +0.005%9.7%2026-08-05 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV +1.63%E +0.267%K +0.320%G +0.005%9.7%2026-08-05 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -10.15%E -8.25%K -44.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.70%E -0.288%K -0.347%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 17:50
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.05%EV -4.42%E -0.476%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.87%EV -2.03%E -0.346%K -0.417%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -15.26%E -13.16%K -95.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -3.37%E -0.580%K -0.701%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-05 17:55
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -4.20%E -0.730%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.20%E -0.730%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -5.03%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.99%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.92%EV -4.83%E -0.522%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.03%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 17:50
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.04%EV -3.57%E -2.71%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.61I 11.61%NM 11.04%EV -11.42%E -1.33%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.92%EV -6.37%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-05 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-05 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +0.827%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:55
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +0.827%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -12.53%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 17:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%0.5%2026-08-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%0.5%2026-08-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%0.5%2026-08-05 17:50