Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fenerbahce v SK Sturm Graz

2026-08-05 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Frente a frente

28 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fenerbahce (Local)

Previsão 63.18%1.58odd justa
EV -4.59%
Vantagem -3.04%
Kelly -9.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.29%63.02%63.45%64.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.501.5171.43%67.45%66.67%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SK Sturm Graz (Visitante)

Previsão 14.63%6.83odd justa
EV +0.971%
Vantagem +0.141%
Kelly +0.165%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.77%14.82%14.47%16.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.406.126.006.9018.52%16.33%16.67%14.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.18%4.51odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.440%
Kelly -0.569%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.28%22.16%22.08%23.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.124.104.4225.97%24.26%24.39%22.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Odds das casas de apostas (28 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%EV -5.23%E -3.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV +0.971%E +0.141%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 11:29
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%EV -5.23%E -3.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV +0.971%E +0.141%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 11:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -1.22%E -0.181%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 11:09
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.12%E -4.84%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.88%E -0.751%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 11:09
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.88%E -0.751%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 11:05
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.39%E -5.78%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.88%E -0.751%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 10:59
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.57%EV -10.28%E -7.24%K -24.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.88%E -0.751%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 11:03
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.43%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.90%EV -5.91%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.67%EV -1.95%E -0.440%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 13:55
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.89%EV -7.75%E -5.31%K -16.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -6.35%E -0.991%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.94%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 13:54
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.23%E -3.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.39%E -0.543%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 10:59
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:49
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:50
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:50
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:50
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:49
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:49
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:49
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.23%E -3.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 10:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.23%E -3.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 12:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 11:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.54%E -8.25%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.20%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-30 11:03
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -15.13%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 10:49
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -15.13%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 10:49
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -18.05%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-30 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.23%E -3.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.52%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.29%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -20.98%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-30 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.