Langue:Français
Fenerbahce v SK Sturm Graz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prévision 73.05%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -8.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.30%72.76%73.10%76.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.261.261.3386.21%79.44%79.37%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
SK Sturm Graz (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.29%9.72cote équitable
EV +8.03%
Avantage +0.765%
Kelly +0.845%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 10.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.00%10.46%10.29%11.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.359.3910.5012.50%10.70%10.64%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 16.66%6.00cote équitable
EV +8.30%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.125%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.75%16.78%16.61%18.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.815.846.5020.00%17.20%17.12%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fenerbahce (Local) : 73.05% ; SK Sturm Graz (Visiteur) : 10.29% ; Match nul : 16.66%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.00. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +8.30%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +8.30%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.125% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +8.30%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.125% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +8.03%E +0.765%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV +6.63%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.081% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +4.13%E +0.661%K +0.787%G +0.033% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -2.84%E -2.14%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%EV -13.58%E -1.62%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%EV +3.30%E +0.532%K +0.634%G +0.021% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.32%EV -5.86%E -0.640%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.35%EV +2.46%E +0.401%K +0.479%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.32%EV -5.86%E -0.640%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.35%EV +2.46%E +0.401%K +0.479%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV +1.63%E +0.267%K +0.320%G +0.005% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +2.88%E +0.288%K +0.321%G +0.009% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV +1.63%E +0.267%K +0.320%G +0.005% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -10.15%E -8.25%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.70%E -0.288%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.96%E -6.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.29I 10.76%NM 10.05%EV -4.42%E -0.476%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 15.87%EV -2.03%E -0.346%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -15.26%E -13.16%K -95.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -3.37%E -0.580%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -4.20%E -0.730%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.20%E -0.730%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -5.03%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.99%EV -9.42%E -7.59%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.92%EV -4.83%E -0.522%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.03%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.04%EV -3.57%E -2.71%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 8.61I 11.61%NM 11.04%EV -11.42%E -1.33%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.92%EV -6.37%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.26%E -0.238%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.88%E -8.92%K -49.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -12.34%E -10.28%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -8.36%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +0.827%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +0.827%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.40%E -0.823%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -12.53%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -17.69%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.50%E -5.07%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.55%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.70%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |