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FC Ararat-Armenia v NK Celje

2026-08-04 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)

Prediction 32.74%3.05fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%32.76%32.79%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.872.9636.36%35.11%34.90%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NK Celje (Visit)

Prediction 38.81%2.58fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.33%38.81%38.84%39.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.402.4744.44%42.11%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.70%28.43%28.38%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4033.33%31.05%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.39%EV -3.10%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.82%EV -4.15%E -1.68%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.79%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 10:44
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.40%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.09%E -2.52%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 11:25
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.40%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.09%E -2.52%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 11:25
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:39
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.80%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:25
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 09:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 09:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 09:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 09:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 09:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 09:48
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 11:40
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 09:45
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 12:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 10:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.36%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-30 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.69%E -5.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-30 09:40
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.62%EV -11.52%E -5.05%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-30 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.