Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Ararat-Armenia v NK Celje

2026-08-04 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)

Prévision 32.74%3.05cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.93%32.76%32.79%33.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.852.872.9636.36%35.11%34.90%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

NK Celje (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.81%2.58cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.33%38.81%38.84%39.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.402.4744.44%42.11%41.67%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.46%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.70%28.43%28.38%29.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.4033.33%31.05%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.39%EV -3.10%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.82%EV -4.15%E -1.68%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.79%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 10:44
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.40%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.09%E -2.52%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 11:25
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.40%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.09%E -2.52%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 11:25
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:39
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:40
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.80%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:25
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 09:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 09:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 09:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 09:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 09:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 09:48
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 11:40
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 09:45
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 12:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 10:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.36%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-30 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.69%E -5.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-30 09:40
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.62%EV -11.52%E -5.05%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-30 09:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.