Langue:Français
FC Ararat-Armenia v NK Celje
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)
Prévision 32.33%3.09cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.847%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.28%32.28%32.30%34.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.802.803.0439.22%35.68%35.71%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
NK Celje (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.60%2.59cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.45%38.64%38.53%39.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.432.5243.48%41.20%41.15%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.07%3.44cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.603%
Kelly -0.857%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%29.08%29.17%30.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.253.3733.33%31.07%30.77%29.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Ararat-Armenia (Local) : 32.33% ; NK Celje (Visiteur) : 38.60% ; Match nul : 29.07%. Pour FC Ararat-Armenia (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.09. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.04, pour une espérance de -1.73% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -1.73%E -0.569%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -6.97%E -2.89%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -3.02%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.20%EV -6.19%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.02%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.64%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.64%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.28%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -8.19%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.91%EV -9.16%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -2.03%E -0.603%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.12%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.21%E -4.87%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-04 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.21%E -4.87%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -10.78%E -3.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.32%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.34%E -5.41%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -6.19%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.34%E -5.41%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -6.19%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.57%E -6.89%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |