Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Ararat-Armenia v NK Celje

Inizio: 2026-08-04 16:00 UTC

Finale: FC Ararat-Armenia 2–1 NK Celje

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Ararat-Armenia (Casa)

Previsione 32.33%3.09quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.569%
Kelly -0.847%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.28%32.28%32.30%34.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.802.803.0439.22%35.68%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

NK Celje (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.60%2.59quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.45%38.64%38.53%39.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.432.432.5243.48%41.20%41.15%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.07%3.44quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -0.603%
Kelly -0.857%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%29.08%29.17%30.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.253.3733.33%31.07%30.77%29.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC Ararat-Armenia (Casa): 32.33%; NK Celje (Trasferta): 38.60%; Pareggio: 29.07%. Per FC Ararat-Armenia (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.09. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.04, con un valore atteso del -1.73%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -1.73%E -0.569%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -6.97%E -2.89%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -3.02%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.20%EV -6.19%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:45
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.02%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:50
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.64%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.64%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:54
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.28%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.25%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 15:55
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.87%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -8.19%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.91%EV -9.16%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -2.03%E -0.603%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.12%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 15:49
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.21%E -4.87%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-04 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.21%E -4.87%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-04 15:45
BetUS🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -10.78%E -3.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.32%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 15:55
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:49
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:49
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -4.26%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-04 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.72%E -4.71%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.34%E -5.41%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -6.19%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.34%E -5.41%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -6.19%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.57%E -6.89%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 15:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-04 15:55