Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd
EV +0.326%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.162%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.36%33.23%33.39%34.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.782.753.0137.04%36.02%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Madrid (Visit)

Prediction 41.36%2.42fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.06%41.39%41.52%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.252.3545.45%44.35%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.38%25.09%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.643.514.0028.57%27.49%28.45%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 33.33%; Atlético Madrid (Visit): 41.36%; Draw: 25.31%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +1.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.46%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV +1.23%E +0.308%K +0.410%G +0.005%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.71%EV +0.326%E +0.108%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.86%EV +0.218%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-14 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.90%EV -2.67%E -0.916%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.57%E -0.666%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.71%EV -2.34%E -0.799%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.40%EV -6.52%E -2.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -2.57%E -0.666%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 22:24
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -2.34%E -0.799%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.54%EV -7.35%E -3.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -3.32%E -0.870%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -2.01%E -0.683%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.939%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -2.01%E -0.683%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.939%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.34%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:34
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-14 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 00:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 23:30
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 22:09
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:30
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 22:09
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 00:20
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.30%EV -9.01%E -3.30%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.95%EV -8.18%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.75%EV -10.66%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:10
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:46
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:24
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-14 23:45
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.28%EV -6.52%E -2.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 22:15
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:05
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%4.4%2026-10-15 00:50
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 32.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%9.1%2026-10-14 22:14