Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prévision 33.33%3.00cote équitable
EV +0.326%
Avantage +0.108%
Kelly +0.162%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.36%33.23%33.39%34.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.782.753.0137.04%36.02%36.36%33.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético Madrid (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.36%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.06%41.39%41.52%42.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.252.252.3545.45%44.35%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.308%
Kelly +0.410%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.34%25.38%25.09%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.633.504.0028.57%27.52%28.57%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : VfB Stuttgart (Local) : 33.33% ; Atlético Madrid (Visiteur) : 41.36% ; Match nul : 25.31%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.95. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance positive de +1.23%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.46%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV +1.23%E +0.308%K +0.410%G +0.005%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.71%EV +0.326%E +0.108%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.86%EV +0.218%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-14 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.90%EV -2.67%E -0.916%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.57%E -0.666%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.71%EV -2.34%E -0.799%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.40%EV -6.52%E -2.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -2.57%E -0.666%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 22:24
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -2.34%E -0.799%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.54%EV -7.35%E -3.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -3.32%E -0.870%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -2.01%E -0.683%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.939%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -2.01%E -0.683%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.939%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.34%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:34
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-14 22:24
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 23:30
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 22:09
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:30
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 22:09
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 00:20
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.30%EV -9.01%E -3.30%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.95%EV -8.18%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.75%EV -10.66%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:10
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:46
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:24
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-14 23:45
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.28%EV -6.52%E -2.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 22:15
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:05
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%4.4%2026-10-15 00:50
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 32.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%9.1%2026-10-14 22:14