Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Previsão 33.33%3.00odd justa
EV +0.326%
Vantagem +0.108%
Kelly +0.162%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.36%33.23%33.39%34.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.782.753.0137.04%36.02%36.36%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlético Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 41.36%2.42odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.06%41.39%41.52%42.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.252.252.3545.45%44.35%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.31%3.95odd justa
EV +1.23%
Vantagem +0.308%
Kelly +0.410%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.34%25.38%25.09%26.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.633.504.0028.57%27.52%28.57%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 33.33%; Atlético Madrid (Visitante): 41.36%; Empate: 25.31%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.95. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.46%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV +1.23%E +0.308%K +0.410%G +0.005%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.71%EV +0.326%E +0.108%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.86%EV +0.218%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-14 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.90%EV -2.67%E -0.916%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.57%E -0.666%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.71%EV -2.34%E -0.799%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.40%EV -6.52%E -2.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -2.57%E -0.666%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 22:24
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -2.34%E -0.799%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.54%EV -7.35%E -3.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -3.32%E -0.870%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -2.01%E -0.683%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.939%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -2.01%E -0.683%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.939%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.34%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:34
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-14 22:24
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 23:30
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 22:09
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:30
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 22:09
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 00:20
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.30%EV -9.01%E -3.30%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.95%EV -8.18%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.75%EV -10.66%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:10
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:46
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:24
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.34%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-14 23:45
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.28%EV -6.52%E -2.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 22:15
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.01%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-10-15 01:05
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%4.4%2026-10-15 00:50
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 32.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%9.1%2026-10-14 22:14