Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%39.41%39.46%41.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.352.352.4843.86%42.64%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barcelona (Visit)

Prediction 38.15%2.62fair odd
EV -0.815%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.62%38.11%38.38%41.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.452.6045.45%40.57%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +0.685%
Kelly +0.875%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.81%22.48%22.16%24.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.6027.03%24.74%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Paris Saint Germain (Local): 39.43%; Barcelona (Visit): 38.15%; Draw: 22.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +3.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.77%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -16.07%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.15%E +0.685%K +0.875%G +0.028%9.7%2026-10-15 00:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.77%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -16.07%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.15%E +0.685%K +0.875%G +0.028%9.7%2026-10-15 00:15
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%EV -2.22%E -0.894%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.08%EV -1.20%E -0.462%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.16%EV -0.214%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-15 00:10
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.82%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.16%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.49%EV -0.663%E -0.150%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.51%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%EV -0.815%E -0.314%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -1.34%E -0.304%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-14 22:25
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.16%EV -3.87%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.79%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.06%EV -3.87%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 00:05
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -0.815%E -0.314%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 01:03
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 00:10
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.01%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 01:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.872%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.77%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.77%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:50
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 01:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 01:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.72%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:04
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.27%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 00:08
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 00:04
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.67%EV -0.815%E -0.314%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.77%EV -10.08%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:14
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.72%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 00:46
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.12%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -0.815%E -0.314%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.43%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -2.72%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:09
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 23:30
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 22:10
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.89%EV -7.74%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.84%EV -5.77%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.86%EV -5.77%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -16.36%E -4.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-10-15 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.80%1.9%2026-10-15 00:55
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%6.4%2026-10-15 00:35