Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Prévision 39.47%2.53cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.850%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.74%39.46%39.55%41.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.342.352.4843.86%42.67%42.55%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barcelona (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.396%
Kelly -0.643%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.62%37.91%38.21%39.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.472.452.6041.67%40.44%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.46%4.45cote équitable
EV -0.044%
Avantage -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.34%22.63%22.24%24.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.024.004.4527.03%24.90%25.00%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Paris Saint Germain (Local) : 39.47% ; Barcelona (Visiteur) : 38.07% ; Match nul : 22.46%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.452. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.450, pour une espérance de -0.044% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%EV -2.11%E -0.850%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.08%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.16%EV -0.044%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-15 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.12%EV -3.69%E -1.51%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:09
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.16%EV -4.07%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -2.29%E -0.526%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.19%E -0.740%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.19%E -0.740%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.79%EV -4.87%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.06%EV -4.07%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 00:05
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -4.87%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.67%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.77%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.51%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -1.17%E -0.265%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-14 22:25
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 00:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.82%EV -5.66%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.36%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.49%EV -0.493%E -0.111%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 00:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.27%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 00:08
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 00:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 01:38
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 00:00
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.86%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -16.22%E -4.35%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 22:10
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.84%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:04
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 00:04
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 01:34
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -16.89%E -4.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-10-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%6.4%2026-10-15 00:35