Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Previsão 39.47%2.53odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.850%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.74%39.46%39.55%41.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.342.352.4843.86%42.67%42.55%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barcelona (Visitante)

Previsão 38.07%2.63odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.396%
Kelly -0.643%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.62%37.91%38.21%39.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.472.452.6041.67%40.44%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.46%4.45odd justa
EV -0.044%
Vantagem -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.34%22.63%22.24%24.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.024.004.4527.03%24.90%25.00%22.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Paris Saint Germain (Local): 39.47%; Barcelona (Visitante): 38.07%; Empate: 22.46%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.452. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.450, com valor esperado de -0.044%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%EV -2.11%E -0.850%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.08%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.16%EV -0.044%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-15 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.12%EV -3.69%E -1.51%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:09
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.16%EV -4.07%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -2.29%E -0.526%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.19%E -0.740%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.19%E -0.740%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.79%EV -4.87%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.06%EV -4.07%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 00:05
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -4.87%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.67%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.77%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.51%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -1.17%E -0.265%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-14 22:25
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 00:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.41%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.82%EV -5.66%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.36%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.49%EV -0.493%E -0.111%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 00:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.27%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 00:08
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 00:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 01:38
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.06%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 00:00
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.86%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -16.22%E -4.35%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 22:10
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.89%EV -7.63%E -3.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.84%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:04
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 00:04
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 01:34
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -2.74%E -0.633%K -0.823%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -9.21%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -16.89%E -4.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -10.00%E -4.39%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-10-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-15 01:40
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%6.4%2026-10-15 00:35