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Aston Villa v Fenerbahce
Победитель встречи
Aston Villa (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.46%1.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.40%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -3.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.76
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.14%55.49%55.37%57.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.691.721.7663.29%59.20%58.14%56.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fenerbahce (Гости)
Прогноз 20.55%4.87справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.761%
Преимущество -0.158%
Kelly -0.199%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.14%20.63%20.54%21.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.464.404.8324.39%22.45%22.73%20.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.00%4.17справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.071%
Преимущество +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.43%23.88%24.09%24.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.633.873.804.1727.55%25.86%26.32%23.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Aston Villa (Хозяева): 55.46%; Fenerbahce (Гости): 20.55%; Ничья: 24.00%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.167. 1 букмекер предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 4.170, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +0.071%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (37 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.98%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.40%EV -0.761%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.99%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.43%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -7.94%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.60%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.44%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.96%EV -5.93%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:17 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.24%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -11.03%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.26%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.65%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.00%EV -12.38%E -7.84%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.18%EV -11.83%E -7.44%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.89%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58% | 16.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |