Idioma:Español
Aston Villa v Fenerbahce
Resultado del partido
Aston Villa (Local)
Predicción 55.46%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.14%55.49%55.37%57.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.721.7663.29%59.20%58.14%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fenerbahce (Visitante)
Predicción 20.55%4.87momio equitativo
EV -0.761%
Ventaja -0.158%
Kelly -0.199%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.14%20.63%20.54%21.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.464.404.8324.39%22.45%22.73%20.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.00%4.17momio equitativo
EV +0.071%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%23.88%24.09%24.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.633.873.804.1727.55%25.86%26.32%23.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Aston Villa (Local): 55.46%; Fenerbahce (Visitante): 20.55%; Empate: 24.00%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.167. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.170, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.071%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.98%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.40%EV -0.761%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.99%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.43%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -7.94%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.60%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.44%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.96%EV -5.93%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:17 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.24%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -11.03%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.26%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.65%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.00%EV -12.38%E -7.84%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.18%EV -11.83%E -7.44%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.89%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58% | 16.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |