Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
+ Nowy modelWszystkie modele

Aston Villa v Fenerbahce

2026-10-14 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Zwycięzca spotkania

37 bukmacherów (11 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Aston Villa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.46%1.80kurs godziwy
EV -2.40%
Przewaga -1.36%
Kelly -3.15%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.76

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.14%55.49%55.37%57.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.581.691.721.7663.29%59.20%58.14%56.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fenerbahce (Goście)

Prognoza 20.55%4.87kurs godziwy
EV -0.761%
Przewaga -0.158%
Kelly -0.199%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.14%20.63%20.54%21.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.104.464.404.8324.39%22.45%22.73%20.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.00%4.17kurs godziwy
EV +0.071%
Przewaga +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.43%23.88%24.09%24.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.633.873.804.1727.55%25.86%26.32%23.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Aston Villa (Gospodarze): 55.46%; Fenerbahce (Goście): 20.55%; Remis: 24.00%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.167. 1 bukmacher oferuje kurs powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 4.170, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +0.071%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.98%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.40%EV -0.761%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-12 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.99%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.43%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -7.94%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.60%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.44%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.96%EV -5.93%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 14:17
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.24%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -11.03%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.26%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.65%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.00%EV -12.38%E -7.84%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.18%EV -11.83%E -7.44%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.89%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.7%2026-09-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.7%2026-09-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.7%2026-09-12 17:00
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 54.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%16.3%2026-09-12 14:20