Langue:Français
Aston Villa v Fenerbahce
Résultat du match
Aston Villa (Local)
Prévision 55.46%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.14%55.49%55.37%57.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.691.721.7663.29%59.20%58.14%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Fenerbahce (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.55%4.87cote équitable
EV -0.761%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.199%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.14%20.63%20.54%21.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.464.404.8324.39%22.45%22.73%20.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.00%4.17cote équitable
EV +0.071%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%23.88%24.09%24.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.633.873.804.1727.55%25.86%26.32%23.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aston Villa (Local) : 55.46% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 20.55% ; Match nul : 24.00%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.167. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.170, pour une espérance positive de +0.071%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.98%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.40%EV -0.761%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.99%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.61%E -0.392%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.43%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.63%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.40%E -0.506%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -7.94%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.60%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.44%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.96%EV -5.93%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:17 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.24%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -11.03%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.26%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.65%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.00%EV -12.38%E -7.84%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.18%EV -11.83%E -7.44%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.89%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58% | 16.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |