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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Trabzonspor v Galatasaray

Início: 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 4–0 Galatasaray

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Previsão 31.35%3.19odd justa
EV +1.89%
Vantagem +0.582%
Kelly +0.841%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.48%31.20%31.46%32.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.47%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Previsão 43.41%2.30odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -2.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.57%43.47%43.38%45.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.24%3.96odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.399%
Kelly -0.536%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.05%25.33%25.16%26.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.673.703.9029.41%27.28%27.03%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Trabzonspor (Local): 31.35%; Galatasaray (Visitante): 43.41%; Empate: 25.24%. Para Trabzonspor (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV +1.89%E +0.582%K +0.841%G +0.016%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -2.82%E -0.732%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +1.27%E +0.392%K +0.567%G +0.007%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.31%E -0.597%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +1.27%E +0.392%K +0.567%G +0.007%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.31%E -0.597%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV +0.325%E +0.101%K +0.148%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:02
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.78%EV -4.94%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -6.10%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.56%EV -3.64%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.65%EV -4.84%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 16:50
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -2.18%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.75%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -5.59%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:02
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.82%E -0.732%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:53
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.55%E -0.399%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -7.11%E -3.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:39
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.90%EV -3.64%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -11.90%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.99%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.05%EV -11.45%E -5.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.02%E -5.37%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.71%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.61%EV -10.02%E -3.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.20%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -13.19%E -6.59%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.57%EV -11.59%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.00%EV -10.15%E -4.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.02%E -5.37%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-19 16:50