L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Trabzonspor v Galatasaray

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC

Score final : Trabzonspor 4–0 Galatasaray

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prévision 31.35%3.19cote équitable
EV +1.89%
Avantage +0.582%
Kelly +0.841%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.48%31.20%31.46%32.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.47%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Galatasaray (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.41%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.57%43.47%43.38%45.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.24%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.399%
Kelly -0.536%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.05%25.33%25.16%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.703.9029.41%27.28%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Trabzonspor (Local) : 31.35% ; Galatasaray (Visiteur) : 43.41% ; Match nul : 25.24%. Pour Trabzonspor (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.89%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV +1.89%E +0.582%K +0.841%G +0.016%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -2.82%E -0.732%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +1.27%E +0.392%K +0.567%G +0.007%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.31%E -0.597%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +1.27%E +0.392%K +0.567%G +0.007%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.31%E -0.597%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV +0.325%E +0.101%K +0.148%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:02
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.78%EV -4.94%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -6.10%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.56%EV -3.64%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.65%EV -4.84%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 16:50
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -2.18%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.75%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -5.59%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:02
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.82%E -0.732%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:53
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.55%E -0.399%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -7.11%E -3.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:39
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.90%EV -3.64%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -11.90%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.99%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.05%EV -11.45%E -5.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.02%E -5.37%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.71%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.61%EV -10.02%E -3.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.20%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -13.19%E -6.59%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.57%EV -11.59%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.00%EV -10.15%E -4.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.02%E -5.37%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-19 16:50