Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Trabzonspor v Galatasaray

2026-09-19 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Trabzonspor (Casa)

Previsione 27.61%3.62quota equa
EV -0.044%
Vantaggio -0.012%
Kelly -0.017%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.93%27.50%27.77%28.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.383.403.6234.48%29.62%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Galatasaray (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.01%2.08quota equa
EV -3.98%
Vantaggio -1.99%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.61%48.20%47.93%49.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.901.922.0055.56%52.57%52.22%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.38%4.10quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -0.620%
Kelly -0.827%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.46%24.30%24.29%24.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.773.794.0028.99%26.53%26.35%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Trabzonspor (Casa): 27.61%; Galatasaray (Trasferta): 48.01%; Pareggio: 24.38%. Per Trabzonspor (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.622. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.620, con un valore atteso del -0.044%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -0.044%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.94%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -2.73%E -0.683%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 18:15
NordicBet🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%EV -1.42%E -0.399%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.82%EV -9.06%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Betsson🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%EV -1.42%E -0.399%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.82%EV -9.06%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:26
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:26
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:26
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:26
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:26
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:25
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:40
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.98%E -0.557%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -7.82%E -4.08%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.31%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:10
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -10.70%E -5.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:26
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -10.70%E -5.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -11.18%E -6.05%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 17:26
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -11.18%E -6.05%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 17:25
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:11
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -11.18%E -6.05%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:26
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:41
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 19:25
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 17:11
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -8.78%E -4.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.04%EV -13.57%E -4.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.44%EV -11.18%E -6.05%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -12.72%E -3.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 17:06
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -15.78%E -5.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.70%E -5.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 17:21
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -15.78%E -5.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.70%EV -10.70%E -5.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 17:05
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -11.18%E -6.05%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.97%EV -19.92%E -6.87%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.68%EV -13.59%E -7.55%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.35%EV -15.89%E -4.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%19.0%2026-09-12 17:21
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.