La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Trabzonspor v Galatasaray

Inicio: 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 4–0 Galatasaray

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Predicción 31.35%3.19momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.582%
Kelly +0.841%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.48%31.20%31.46%32.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.47%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Predicción 43.41%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -2.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.57%43.47%43.38%45.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.24%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.536%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.05%25.33%25.16%26.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.703.9029.41%27.28%27.03%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Trabzonspor (Local): 31.35%; Galatasaray (Visitante): 43.41%; Empate: 25.24%. Para Trabzonspor (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.19. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.89%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV +1.89%E +0.582%K +0.841%G +0.016%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -2.82%E -0.732%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +1.27%E +0.392%K +0.567%G +0.007%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.31%E -0.597%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +1.27%E +0.392%K +0.567%G +0.007%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.31%E -0.597%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV +0.325%E +0.101%K +0.148%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:02
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.78%EV -4.94%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -6.10%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.56%EV -3.64%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.65%EV -4.84%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 16:50
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -2.18%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.75%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -5.59%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:02
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.82%E -0.732%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:53
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:49
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.55%E -0.399%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -7.11%E -3.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.98%E -3.76%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:39
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.90%EV -3.64%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -11.90%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:54
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.81%EV -10.58%E -5.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.99%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.05%EV -11.45%E -5.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.02%E -5.37%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.71%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.61%EV -10.02%E -3.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.20%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -13.19%E -6.59%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.57%EV -11.59%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.00%EV -10.15%E -4.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.85%E -4.21%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.02%E -5.37%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-19 16:50