Language:English
Kasimpasa SK v Kayserispor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kasimpasa SK (Local)
Prediction 43.42%2.30fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.28%43.43%43.37%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.31%46.08%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kayserispor (Visit)
Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.523%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%28.33%28.56%30.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.5734.72%31.19%31.25%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.20%28.24%28.06%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.5033.33%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 43.42%; Kayserispor (Visit): 28.39%; Draw: 28.19%. For Kayserispor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV +1.34%E +0.376%K +0.523%G +0.007% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -5.00%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.06%E -0.598%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.33%E -0.381%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 07:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.08%E -3.31%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -4.62%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 19:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 06:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -11.43%E -3.66%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 11:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 04:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 08:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -14.84%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.15%E -6.58%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-04 11:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 11:15 |