مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kasimpasa SK v Kayserispor

البداية: 2026-04-04 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.42%2.30السعر العادل
EV -2.30%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -1.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.28%43.43%43.37%45.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.31%46.08%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kayserispor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.39%3.52السعر العادل
EV +1.34%
الأفضلية +0.376%
Kelly +0.523%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.59%28.33%28.56%30.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.213.203.5734.72%31.19%31.25%28.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.19%3.55السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.381%
Kelly -0.534%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.20%28.24%28.06%29.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.293.303.5033.33%30.38%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV +1.34%E +0.376%K +0.523%G +0.007%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -5.00%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 11:09
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 11:09
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:14
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:14
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.06%E -0.598%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.33%E -0.381%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 11:19
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 07:55
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:15
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.08%E -3.31%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -4.62%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:14
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 11:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 11:14
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 11:09
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 11:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:50
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 06:09
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 08:44
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -11.43%E -3.66%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 11:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 04:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 11:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 08:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -14.84%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:49
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 10:49
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:49
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.15%E -6.58%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 11:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-04 11:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%1.9%2026-04-04 11:15