La scuola delle quote

Kasimpasa SK v Kayserispor

Inizio: 2026-04-04 11:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Casa)

Previsione 43.42%2.30quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.28%43.43%43.37%45.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.31%46.08%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kayserispor (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.39%3.52quota equa
EV +1.34%
Vantaggio +0.376%
Kelly +0.523%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.59%28.33%28.56%30.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.203.5734.72%31.19%31.25%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.19%3.55quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.381%
Kelly -0.534%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.20%28.24%28.06%29.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.293.303.5033.33%30.38%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV +1.34%E +0.376%K +0.523%G +0.007%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -5.00%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 11:09
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 11:09
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:14
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:14
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.06%E -0.598%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.33%E -0.381%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 11:19
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 07:55
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:15
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.08%E -3.31%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -4.62%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:14
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 11:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 11:14
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 11:09
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 11:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:50
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 06:09
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 08:44
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -11.43%E -3.66%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 11:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 04:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 11:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 08:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -14.84%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:49
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 10:49
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:49
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.15%E -6.58%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 11:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-04 11:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%1.9%2026-04-04 11:15