La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Kasimpasa SK v Kayserispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kasimpasa SK (Local)
Predicción 43.42%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.28%43.43%43.37%45.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.31%46.08%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kayserispor (Visitante)
Predicción 28.39%3.52momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.523%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%28.33%28.56%30.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.5734.72%31.19%31.25%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.19%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.381%
Kelly -0.534%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.20%28.24%28.06%29.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.5033.33%30.38%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV +1.34%E +0.376%K +0.523%G +0.007% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -5.00%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +0.775%E +0.218%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.644%E -0.184%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.06%E -0.598%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.33%E -0.381%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 07:55 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.08%E -3.31%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -4.62%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -4.90%E -2.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 19:50 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 06:09 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -11.43%E -3.66%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 11:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 04:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 08:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -14.84%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.15%E -6.58%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-04 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 11:15 |