Language:English
Kasimpasa SK v Galatasaray
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kasimpasa SK (Local)
Prediction 30.62%3.27fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.499%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%30.61%30.61%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.023.003.2334.72%33.12%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galatasaray (Visit)
Prediction 41.88%2.39fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.80%41.86%41.87%43.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.232.3350.00%45.25%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.53%27.52%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.5033.33%29.61%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 30.62%; Galatasaray (Visit): 41.88%; Draw: 27.50%. For Kasimpasa SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.23, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV -1.11%E -0.345%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.99%EV -1.73%E -0.537%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.19%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.59%EV -7.44%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.48%EV -7.54%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.72%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -9.12%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-16 18:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |