L’École des cotes

Kasimpasa SK v Galatasaray

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Kasimpasa SK 1–0 Galatasaray

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prévision 30.62%3.27cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.499%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.20%30.61%30.61%31.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.023.003.2334.72%33.12%33.33%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galatasaray (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.88%2.39cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.80%41.86%41.87%43.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.232.3350.00%45.25%44.84%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.53%27.52%28.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.5033.33%29.61%29.41%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV -1.11%E -0.345%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 29.99%EV -1.73%E -0.537%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:14
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:15
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:14
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.19%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:15
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.59%EV -7.44%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betsson3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:24
NordicBet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.48%EV -7.54%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.72%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:10
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:15
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:13
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:15
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -9.12%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:15
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 18:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25