مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kasimpasa SK v Galatasaray

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kasimpasa SK 1–0 Galatasaray

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.62%3.27السعر العادل
EV -1.11%
الأفضلية -0.345%
Kelly -0.499%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.20%30.61%30.61%31.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.023.003.2334.72%33.12%33.33%30.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Galatasaray (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.88%2.39السعر العادل
EV -2.42%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -1.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.80%41.86%41.87%43.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.212.232.3350.00%45.25%44.84%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.50%3.64السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -1.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.22%27.53%27.52%28.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.5033.33%29.61%29.41%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV -1.11%E -0.345%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 29.99%EV -1.73%E -0.537%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:14
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:15
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:14
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.19%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:15
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.59%EV -7.44%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betsson3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:24
NordicBet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.48%EV -7.54%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.72%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:10
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:15
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:13
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:15
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -9.12%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:15
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 18:56
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25