La escuela de los momios

Kasimpasa SK v Galatasaray

Inicio: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Final: Kasimpasa SK 1–0 Galatasaray

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Predicción 30.62%3.27momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.499%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.20%30.61%30.61%31.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.023.003.2334.72%33.12%33.33%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Predicción 41.88%2.39momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.80%41.86%41.87%43.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.232.3350.00%45.25%44.84%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.53%27.52%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.5033.33%29.61%29.41%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV -1.11%E -0.345%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 29.99%EV -1.73%E -0.537%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.03%E -0.635%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:14
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:15
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:14
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.19%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:15
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.59%EV -7.44%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betsson3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:24
NordicBet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.48%EV -7.54%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.72%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:10
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:15
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:13
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:15
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -9.12%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:15
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.22%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 18:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25