The School of Odds

Genclerbirligi SK v Fenerbahce

2026-08-15 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prediction 14.06%7.11fair odd
EV +5.43%
Edge +0.724%
Kelly +0.836%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.39%13.89%14.17%16.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.106.346.507.5019.61%15.78%15.38%13.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fenerbahce (Visit)

Prediction 65.95%1.52fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.41%66.16%65.80%68.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.361.4974.07%72.01%73.53%67.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.00%5.00fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.259%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%19.95%20.03%21.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.404.9525.00%22.48%22.73%20.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +5.43%E +0.724%K +0.836%G +0.045%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.84%EV -10.97%E -8.13%K -31.35%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -1.02%E -0.206%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +5.43%E +0.724%K +0.836%G +0.045%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.84%EV -10.97%E -8.13%K -31.35%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -1.02%E -0.206%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -1.60%E -0.228%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -5.02%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:00
1xBet6.91I 14.47%NM 14.05%EV -2.86%E -0.414%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.16%EV -1.74%E -1.17%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.79%EV -6.62%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 19:20
SportsBet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.11%E -0.757%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.02%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 15:50
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.62%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.02%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 15:50
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.62%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.67%E -5.48%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.02%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -8.62%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.31%E -7.58%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -8.62%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.31%E -7.58%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 19:10
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -12.84%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 15:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.38%EV -21.28%E -3.80%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.34%EV -10.31%E -7.58%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.27%EV -19.02%E -4.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 15:49
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.38%EV -21.28%E -3.80%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.34%EV -10.31%E -7.58%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.27%EV -19.02%E -4.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 15:50
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -22.68%E -4.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.31%E -7.58%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -20.02%E -5.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-26 15:49
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.13%EV -24.09%E -4.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.13%EV -8.99%E -6.52%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -16.02%E -3.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.52%EV -28.31%E -5.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 62.41%EV -10.97%E -8.13%K -31.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.06%EV -20.02%E -5.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-26 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:25