Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.10
assuming max odds 1.66
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 17.74%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 58.23%; Draw: 24.03%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV +1.99%E +0.347%K +0.420%G +0.008% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -15.57%E -10.74%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.11%EV +0.752%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.25%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.64%EV -1.22%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -2.09%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -6.03%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.33%E -0.611%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -4.21%E -0.780%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -7.58%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.68%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -9.54%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.91%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.22%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.88%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -9.17%E -5.88%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.11%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -14.86%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.29%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.61% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
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