默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Genclerbirligi SK v Fenerbahce

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 18:30 UTC

最终结果: Genclerbirligi SK 2–1 Fenerbahce

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Genclerbirligi SK (主队)

预测 17.74%5.64公平赔率
EV +8.20%
优势 +1.34%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.132%

假设最高赔率为 6.10

博彩公司预测分布
15.34%17.58%17.76%18.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.445.406.1020.83%18.40%18.52%16.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fenerbahce (客队)

预测 58.23%1.72公平赔率
EV -3.34%
优势 -2.01%
Kelly -5.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
57.05%58.44%58.27%62.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.571.571.6669.44%63.82%63.69%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.03%4.16公平赔率
EV +0.945%
优势 +0.225%
Kelly +0.295%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.28%23.98%23.97%25.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.933.904.2028.57%25.46%25.64%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Genclerbirligi SK (主队):17.74%;Fenerbahce (客队):58.23%;平局:24.03%。 对于“Genclerbirligi SK (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.64。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.10,对应+8.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
FanDuel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV +1.99%E +0.347%K +0.420%G +0.008%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -15.57%E -10.74%K -34.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 17:54
SportsBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:24
1xBet🎯5.68I 17.61%NM 17.11%EV +0.752%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.25%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.64%EV -1.22%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Pinnacle🎯5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -2.09%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -6.03%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:10
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:09
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:24
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.33%E -0.611%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:24
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -4.21%E -0.780%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:23
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:14
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:10
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:25
GTbets🎯5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -7.58%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.68%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:20
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:20
NordicBet🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 18:25
Betsson🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -9.54%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.91%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:19
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:25
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.22%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 18:23
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 18:10
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.88%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -9.17%E -5.88%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.11%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -14.86%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.29%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 18:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-08-15 18:20