StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Genclerbirligi SK v Fenerbahce

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 18:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Genclerbirligi SK 2–1 Fenerbahce

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Genclerbirligi SK (Hemma)

Prognos 17.74%5.64rättvist odds
EV +8.20%
Fördel +1.34%
Kelly +1.61%
Tillväxt +0.132%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.34%17.58%17.76%18.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.805.445.406.1020.83%18.40%18.52%16.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce (Borta)

Prognos 58.23%1.72rättvist odds
EV -3.34%
Fördel -2.01%
Kelly -5.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.05%58.44%58.27%62.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.571.571.6669.44%63.82%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.03%4.16rättvist odds
EV +0.945%
Fördel +0.225%
Kelly +0.295%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.28%23.98%23.97%25.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.933.904.2028.57%25.46%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Genclerbirligi SK (Hemma): 17.74%; Fenerbahce (Borta): 58.23%; Oavgjort: 24.03%. För Genclerbirligi SK (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.64. 16 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.20%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
FanDuel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV +1.99%E +0.347%K +0.420%G +0.008%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -15.57%E -10.74%K -34.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 17:54
SportsBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:24
1xBet🎯5.68I 17.61%NM 17.11%EV +0.752%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.25%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.64%EV -1.22%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Pinnacle🎯5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -2.09%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -6.03%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:10
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:09
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:24
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.33%E -0.611%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:24
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -4.21%E -0.780%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:23
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:14
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:10
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:25
GTbets🎯5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -7.58%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.68%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:20
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:20
NordicBet🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 18:25
Betsson🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -9.54%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.91%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:19
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:25
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.22%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 18:23
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 18:10
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.88%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -9.17%E -5.88%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.11%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -14.86%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.29%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 18:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-08-15 18:20