Idioma:Español
Genclerbirligi SK v Fenerbahce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Genclerbirligi SK (Local)
Predicción 17.74%5.64momio equitativo
EV +8.20%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.132%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.34%17.58%17.76%18.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.445.406.1020.83%18.40%18.52%16.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fenerbahce (Visitante)
Predicción 58.23%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -5.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.05%58.44%58.27%62.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.571.571.6669.44%63.82%63.69%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.03%4.16momio equitativo
EV +0.945%
Ventaja +0.225%
Kelly +0.295%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.28%23.98%23.97%25.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.933.904.2028.57%25.46%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 17.74%; Fenerbahce (Visitante): 58.23%; Empate: 24.03%. Para Genclerbirligi SK (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.64. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +8.20%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.132% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.945%E +0.225%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +2.88%E +0.497%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV +1.99%E +0.347%K +0.420%G +0.008% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -15.57%E -10.74%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.11%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.11%EV +0.752%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.25%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.64%EV -1.22%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -0.667%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -16.15%E -11.22%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -2.09%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -6.03%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.44%E -0.444%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.33%E -0.611%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -4.21%E -0.780%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -6.87%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -7.58%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.68%EV -3.34%E -2.01%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.76%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.98%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.75%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -9.54%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.91%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.22%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.48%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.31%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.88%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -9.17%E -5.88%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.86%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -13.08%E -2.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.11%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -14.86%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.29%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.61% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |