Language:English
Galatasaray v Kocaelispor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galatasaray (Local)
Prediction 75.87%1.32fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -10.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.89%75.98%75.74%79.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.221.2886.96%82.32%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kocaelispor (Visit)
Prediction 8.25%12.13fair odd
EV +17.75%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.237%
assuming max odds 14.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.58%8.18%8.26%9.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.1711.0014.2810.00%8.95%9.09%7.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.88%6.30fair odd
EV +8.49%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.124%
assuming max odds 6.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.04%15.84%16.00%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.896.006.8320.00%16.98%16.67%14.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 75.87%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 8.25%; Draw: 15.88%. For Kocaelispor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.13. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 14.28I 7.00%NM 6.71%EV +17.75%E +1.24%K +1.34%G +0.237% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.04%EV +8.49%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.124% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +15.44%E +1.10%K +1.19%G +0.183% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.46%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.36%EV +8.85%E +0.670%K +0.725%G +0.064% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.09%EV +6.43%E +0.960%K +1.13%G +0.073% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -4.40%E -3.50%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 16:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.37%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 11.86I 8.43%NM 8.07%EV -2.20%E -0.186%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV -8.18%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV +0.075%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -2.89%E -2.26%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.51%EV -11.99%E -10.34%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.53%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.52%EV -12.75%E -11.09%K -85.00%G +0.000% | 10.95I 9.13%NM 7.93%EV -9.71%E -0.886%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -16.60%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.95%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.85% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.92% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.83% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |