مدرسة الاحتمالات

Galatasaray v Kocaelispor

البداية: 2026-04-12 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Galatasaray (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.87%1.32السعر العادل
EV -2.89%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -10.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.89%75.98%75.74%79.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.211.221.2886.96%82.32%81.97%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kocaelispor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.25%12.13السعر العادل
EV +17.75%
الأفضلية +1.24%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.237%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.58%8.18%8.26%9.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.0011.1711.0014.2810.00%8.95%9.09%7.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.88%6.30السعر العادل
EV +8.49%
الأفضلية +1.24%
Kelly +1.46%
النمو +0.124%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.04%15.84%16.00%18.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.896.006.8320.00%16.98%16.67%14.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000%14.28I 7.00%NM 6.71%EV +17.75%E +1.24%K +1.34%G +0.237%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.04%EV +8.49%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.124%4.3%2026-04-12 16:59
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +15.44%E +1.10%K +1.19%G +0.183%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.46%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.36%EV +8.85%E +0.670%K +0.725%G +0.064%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.09%EV +6.43%E +0.960%K +1.13%G +0.073%6.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -4.40%E -3.50%K -16.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:59
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019%7.1%2026-04-12 16:59
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019%8.5%2026-04-12 17:00
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 16:58
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 17:00
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.37%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%11.86I 8.43%NM 8.07%EV -2.20%E -0.186%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV -8.18%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:59
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV +0.075%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:59
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006%7.8%2026-04-12 17:00
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006%7.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -2.89%E -2.26%K -10.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:00
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:59
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 17:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:59
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:59
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:59
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:00
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.51%EV -11.99%E -10.34%K -74.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.53%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 75.52%EV -12.75%E -11.09%K -85.00%G +0.000%10.95I 9.13%NM 7.93%EV -9.71%E -0.886%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -16.60%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 16:56
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 17:01
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 17:00
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.95%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%0.6%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.85%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%1.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.92%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.83%1.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.83%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%1.8%2026-04-12 17:00