La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Galatasaray v Kocaelispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galatasaray (Local)
Predicción 75.87%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -10.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.89%75.98%75.74%79.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.221.2886.96%82.32%81.97%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kocaelispor (Visitante)
Predicción 8.25%12.13momio equitativo
EV +17.75%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.237%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.58%8.18%8.26%9.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0011.1711.0014.2810.00%8.95%9.09%7.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.88%6.30momio equitativo
EV +8.49%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.124%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.04%15.84%16.00%18.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.896.006.8320.00%16.98%16.67%14.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 14.28I 7.00%NM 6.71%EV +17.75%E +1.24%K +1.34%G +0.237% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.04%EV +8.49%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.124% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +15.44%E +1.10%K +1.19%G +0.183% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.46%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.36%EV +8.85%E +0.670%K +0.725%G +0.064% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.09%EV +6.43%E +0.960%K +1.13%G +0.073% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -4.40%E -3.50%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 16:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.37%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 11.86I 8.43%NM 8.07%EV -2.20%E -0.186%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV -8.18%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV +0.075%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -2.89%E -2.26%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.51%EV -11.99%E -10.34%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.53%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.52%EV -12.75%E -11.09%K -85.00%G +0.000% | 10.95I 9.13%NM 7.93%EV -9.71%E -0.886%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -16.60%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:56 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.95%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.85% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.92% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.83% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |