L’École des cotes

Galatasaray v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 17:02 UTC

Score final : Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 75.87%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -10.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.89%75.98%75.74%79.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.221.2886.96%82.32%81.97%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.25%12.13cote équitable
EV +17.75%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.237%

avec la cote maximale 14.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.58%8.18%8.26%9.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0011.1711.0014.2810.00%8.95%9.09%7.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.88%6.30cote équitable
EV +8.49%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.124%

avec la cote maximale 6.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.04%15.84%16.00%18.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.896.006.8320.00%16.98%16.67%14.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000%14.28I 7.00%NM 6.71%EV +17.75%E +1.24%K +1.34%G +0.237%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.04%EV +8.49%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.124%4.3%2026-04-12 16:59
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +15.44%E +1.10%K +1.19%G +0.183%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.46%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.36%EV +8.85%E +0.670%K +0.725%G +0.064%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.09%EV +6.43%E +0.960%K +1.13%G +0.073%6.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -4.40%E -3.50%K -16.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:59
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019%7.1%2026-04-12 16:59
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019%8.5%2026-04-12 17:00
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 16:58
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 17:00
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.37%EV -3.65%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%11.86I 8.43%NM 8.07%EV -2.20%E -0.186%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV -8.18%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:59
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -0.719%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV +0.075%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:59
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006%7.8%2026-04-12 17:00
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.34%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%11.34I 8.82%NM 8.18%EV -6.49%E -0.572%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.48%EV +1.82%E +0.284%K +0.337%G +0.006%7.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -2.89%E -2.26%K -10.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:00
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:59
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:00
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 17:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:59
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:59
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:59
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:00
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.51%EV -11.99%E -10.34%K -74.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.53%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 75.52%EV -12.75%E -11.09%K -85.00%G +0.000%10.95I 9.13%NM 7.93%EV -9.71%E -0.886%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -16.60%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -15.81%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.20%E -6.78%K -39.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 16:56
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -5.92%E -4.78%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 17:01
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 17:00
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.72%E -8.16%K -51.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.95%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.04%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%0.6%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.85%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%1.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.92%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.83%1.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.83%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%1.8%2026-04-12 17:00