Language:English
Galatasaray v Goztepe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galatasaray (Local)
Prediction 74.55%1.34fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -13.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.39%74.49%74.59%76.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.02%79.68%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goztepe (Visit)
Prediction 9.58%10.44fair odd
EV +6.09%
Edge +0.550%
Kelly +0.605%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 11.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%9.59%9.55%11.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.649.6811.0812.50%10.38%10.34%9.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.88%6.30fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.491%
Kelly +0.581%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.53%15.92%15.86%17.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.775.806.5018.87%17.34%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 74.55%; Goztepe (Visit): 9.58%; Draw: 15.88%. For Goztepe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.44. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.06%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 11.08I 9.03%NM 8.65%EV +6.09%E +0.550%K +0.605%G +0.037% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.29%EV -0.458%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +5.33%E +0.484%K +0.533%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.33%E +0.484%K +0.533%G +0.028% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -3.83%E -2.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV -0.300%E -0.048%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.776%E -0.124%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.776%E -0.124%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -7.13%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.89%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.39%EV -3.77%E -0.375%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 18:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.52%EV -4.53%E -0.455%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.47%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -6.64%E -0.681%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.56%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -8.08%E -0.841%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +3.19%E +0.491%K +0.581%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.68%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.54%E -8.78%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.54%E -8.78%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -15.86%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -15.86%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.39%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.39%EV -14.59%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.22%EV -14.59%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.39%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.39%EV -14.59%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.22%EV -14.59%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.62%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.18%EV -16.22%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.18%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.40%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -23.40%E -2.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.38%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -23.40%E -2.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.81% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 18:26 |